Financial Insights

KCM On Balance – January 2023

The New Year is traditionally a time to reflect and evaluate the previous year, where you currently stand, and identify what you would like to accomplish in the year ahead. The practice has been around for thousands of years, the origin of which is credited to the ancient Babylonians, who rang in the new year with an 11-day festival that included making promises to the gods in hopes they’d earn good favor in the coming year.  Psychological research suggests there is something emotionally resonant about observing significant dates, known as the fresh-start effect, which helps explain why people are more motivated to set and take action toward a new goal.

So, go ahead and make those New Year’s resolutions!  Here is one tip for sticking with them past the first few weeks of the year from psychologist Ayelet Fishbach, one of the world’s foremost researchers on the science of motivation:

“Give advice to someone who is struggling with a similar issue. You might hesitate to give advice about something you haven’t yet mastered …when you give advice, you recall your past successful behaviors and form specific plans of action for the future. As a result, you become more confident and committed to your success.” [1]

After a mostly disappointing year in global markets, investors are undoubtedly ready for a fresh start.

Despite signs of cooling consumer price growth, economic data continued to point to a strong labor market and a robust economy, fueling concerns about the Fed maintaining heightened levels of interest rates further into the future than most market participants had anticipated. As a result, the S&P 500 closed down -5.76% for the month and finished down  -18.11% for the year.

A down year for markets can cause anxiety, but they happen more commonly than most investors realize. In fact, since 1928, the S&P 500 has finished the year with negative results 26 times, or roughly once every four years. [2] They are an essential aspect of investing that investors should prepare themselves to endure, for it is the “down” markets that set the stage for the “up” markets. No one can tell you either the depth or duration of the “down” market, but they eventually end, and history has shown that investors are rewarded for their patience and resilience when they do.

Wishing you the best of success in the new year!

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The 10 Most Important Things Secure 2.0 Will Do for Your Retirement, in Plain English


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15 Best Festivals in the U.S. to Add to Your Bucket List

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Advisory services offered through KCPAG Financial Advisors LLC and insurance services offered through KCPAG Insurance Services LLC, subsidiaries of Kemper Capital Management LLC. Tax services offered through Kemper CPA Group LLP.

Symmetry Partners, LLC, is an investment advisory firm registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The firm only transacts business in states where it is properly registered, or excluded or exempt from registration requirements. Registration of an investment adviser does not imply any specific level of skill or training and does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission.

No one should assume that future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, product, or non- investment related content made reference to directly or indirectly in this newsletter will be profitable. You should not assume any discussion or information contained in this email serves as the receipt of, or as a substitute for, personalized investment advice. Symmetry does not provide tax or legal advice and nothing either stated or implied here should be inferred as providing such advice. Due to various factors, including changing market conditions and/or applicable laws, the content may no longer be reflective of current opinions or positions.

Investors cannot invest directly in an index. Indexes have no fees. Historical performance results for investment indexes do not reflect the deduction of transaction and/or custodial charges or the deduction of an investment management fee, the occurrence of which would have the effect of decreasing historical performance results. Actual performance for client accounts will differ from index performance.

S&P 500 Index represents the 500 leading U.S. companies, approximately 80% of the total U.S. market capitalization.

[1] Milkman, K. (2022, January 11). New Year’s Resolutions Are Notoriously Slippery, but Science Can Help You Keep Them. Scientific American.

[2] Damodaran, A. (n.d.). Historical Returns on Stocks, Bonds and Bills: 1928-2021. Current Data.

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